
Green Issues Newsletter - 25 April 2003
With less than a week to go before the local election polls open, politicians
from all parties are talking up their chances. More than half the country’s
councillors are up for election this year – and many communities will
change hands or have new councillors.
The Conservatives’ strategic aim is to have more councillors across the
UK than Labour. This is not going to happen this year, and Iain Duncan Smith
is publicly, dramatically, playing down his chances. The Tories are predicting
as few as 30 gains – but privately strategists are growing more confident.
Labour, meanwhile, has already suffered from mass abstention by its activists,
many of whom refused to stand. This has meant that for the first time ever,
they have fewer candidates across the UK than Charles Kennedy’s Liberal
Democrats. However, much of this decline has been in rural areas of southern
Britain where Labour has been traditionally weak, and their vote should hold
up rather better in the areas where Labour councillors are defending seats.
Neither Labour nor the Lib Dems are making predictions yet – but
Charles Kennedy’s party is likely to perform well. Part of this will
be a recovery after some bad results in 1999, but part will reflect the continuing
Lib Dem urban revival that could see cities such as York, Derby and Bristol
fall out of Labour control.
Many in the media have been talking up the chances of minority parties,
independents and even the BNP. Certainly there will be plenty of gains
for those outside the political mainstream, and long lists of independent
candidates have appeared in some unusual areas. But the numbers of these
candidates is still small (tiny in the case of the far-right parties),
and while there will be a few headline-grabbing successes, the results are
unlikely to represent a massive shift in the political climate.
The Green Issues Guide
Green Issues Communications can give you an instant update on any local
government elections you may have an interest in. Within two working days
we will provide you with the information you need about areas you may work
in. Costs start from £250
per authority and packages can be tailor-made to your needs.
For more information contact Gareth Epps at garethe@greenissues.com or
by phone on 0118 959 1211.
Breakfast Seminars
Following the series of seminars on the proposed development of over 200,000
new homes in the South East, presentations made by Ian Christie (Visiting
Professor on Sustainable Development, University of Surrey) and Ian Thorn
(Associate Director, Green Issues Communications) are available on our
website www.greenissues.com. Alternatively, if you would like to order a
copy on CD, please contact Lisa Turner, on 0118 959 1211.
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